Impact of Covid-19 Stimulus Packages on Small and Medium Enterprises in Chile

Investigadores/as:
Ana Maria Montoya
Ubicación:
Chile
Muestra:
25,000 small and medium enterprises
Línea de tiempo:
2020 - 2020
Grupo objetivo:
  • Small and medium enterprises
  • Large enterprises
Resultado de interés:
  • Earnings and income
  • Employment
Tipo de intervención:
  • Digital and mobile
  • Information
  • Nudges and reminders
  • COVID-19 response
Número de registro del AEA RCT Registry:
AEARCTR-0007534
Artículos de investigación:
Socios Implementadores:

Governments around the world have responded to the Covid-19 crisis with large economic stimulus packages, but various barriers could prevent small and medium enterprises (SMEs) from applying for these protections. Researchers are conducting a randomized evaluation to test the impact of Chile’s economic stimulus package on the profits and survival of SMEs. Research is ongoing; results are forthcoming.

Problema de política pública

The economic recovery from the Covid-19 crisis in low- and middle-income countries hinges on the profitability and survival of small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which employ a large fraction of the region’s workforce. Governments throughout the world have responded to the crisis with large economic stimulus packages, often including support to SMEs through direct asset transfers or methods to increase the demand for products or services offered by SMEs, as this can protect both entrepreneurs and the workers they employ. Do economic stimulus programs targeted at SMEs improve firm profits, survival, and employment? Furthermore, do these effects differ by economic sector, firm size, geographical region, or the business owner’s gender?

Contexto de la evaluación

In Chile, SMEs employ a large fraction of the workforce; in 2017, more than 40 percent of Chileans employed in the business economy worked for small- or medium-sized enterprises.1  During the Covid-19 crisis, the Chilean government created a relief package that includes substantial protections for SMEs, including offering liquidity through guaranteed loans provided by financial institutions, such as Banco de Créditos e Inversiones (BCI). Specifically, BCI will lend approximately US$2.6 billion to help SMEs and their workers survive the Covid-19 crisis.

A man sits on a bench wearing a mask and looking at his phone. There is a line of people behind him.
A man sitting on a bench looking at his phone in Chile.
Photo: Pablobellr | Shutterstock.com

Detalles de la intervención

Researchers partnered with BCI to conduct a randomized evaluation to test the impact of receiving benefits from Chile’s economic stimulus package on SME profits, survival, and employment.

At the time of this study, BCI had approximately 25,000 existing SME clients in Chile. BCI sent calls, emails, and/or text messages to a random subset of SMEs to encourage them to apply for credit opportunities. SME clients that did not receive any messages from BCI served as the comparison group.

Researchers tracked program take-up and firm outcomes using administrative data provided by BCI, including transaction-level data of cash deposits and withdrawals, account-to-account transfers (including payroll deposits to employees), revenues from credit card payments, and loan applications and repayments. Additionally, researchers collected data from other financial institutions in Latin America through a survey to assess the roles of SMEs and state-backed loan programs in the financial institutions’ business strategies.

Resultados y lecciones de la política pública

Research ongoing; results forthcoming.

1.

“Share of employment in the total business economy, 2017,” OECD, accessed November 19, 2020, https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/41e92d9e-en/index.html?itemId=/content/component/41e92d9e-en.